Bihar Exit Polls 2025: NDA ki Pakki Jeet, Mahagathbandhan Peeche, Jan Suraaj ka Koi Asar Nahi

Mangalwar ko aaye exit polls ne kaha hai ki Nitish Kumar ke netrutva wali NDA ko Bihar chunav mein badi jeet milne wali hai. Yeh chunav 6 aur 11 November ko do phases mein hue the, jismein bahut jyada voting hui.

Chunav se pehle hi, exit polls ne Bataya ki opposition Mahagathbandhan ka result kharab aayega. Pollsters ne Prashant Kishor ke claims ko bhi galat bataya, aur kaha ki unki party ‘Jan Suraaj’ ke seats single digits mein hi rahengi.

Kitni Hogi Seat? (Poll of Polls ke Hisab se):

• NDA: Lagbhag 148 seats aane ka anuman hai. NDA ki sarkar wapas aane ka signal hai.
• Mahagathbandhan: Badlav ki baat karne wali RJD-led gathbandhan kareeb 88 seats par hi ruk sakti hai.
• Doosre: Baki ki parties lagbhag 7 seats jeet sakti hain.

Alag-Alag Agencies ke Anuman:

• People’s Pulse: NDA 133–159, MGB 75–101, Jan Suraaj 0–5.
• Dainik Bhaskar: NDA 145–160, MGB 73–91, Jan Suraaj shayad ek bhi seat nahi jeet paaye.
• JVC-Polls: NDA 135–150, MGB 88–103.
• Matrize: NDA 147-167, MGB 70-90.
• People’s Insight: NDA 133–148, MGB 87–102.

Voting Kaunsi Hui?

• Phase 2 (122 seats): 5 baje tak 68.52% voting hui. Kishanganj (76.26%) sabse aage raha, jabki Nawada (57.11%) sabse kam raha.
• Phase 1: Ismein 65.08% voting hui thi. Har party ne is jyada voting ko apne support ka signal bataya.

2025 Ka Muqabla:

• NDA: BJP, JDU, LJP(RV), HAM(S), RLM.
• Mahagathbandhan: RJD, Congress, CPI-ML, CPI, CPM, VIP.
• Teenra Front: Prashant Kishor ki party ‘Jan Suraaj’ ne bhi saare seats par apne candidate khade kiye hain.

2020 Ka Result Yaad Rakhein:

NDA ko 125 seats mili thi (JDU-43, BJP-74), aur Mahagathbandhan ko 110 seats (RJD-75, Congress-19).

Aakhri Faisla Abhi Baaki Hai

Exit polls ek idea dete hain, lekin aakhri result counting par hi nirbhar karega. Bihar ab yeh dekhne ko bekarar hai ki yeh anuman sahi hote hain ya phir janta ne koi surprise kar diya hai.